Liberal Democrat

Liberal Democrat
Individual Freedom For Everyone

Sunday, July 24, 2011

The Young Turks: Cenk Uygur- '10th Anniversary of Bush Tax Cuts (Analysis)'

Source:The Young Turks- Cenk Uygur, talking about President George W. Bush's tax cuts.

"10 years after president George Bush and Republicans in Congress pushed forward with tax cuts for the rich Cenk Uygur breaks down the damage." 


When George W Bush became President in 2001 he an inherited a projected budget surplus of 1T$ over ten years including 100B$ a bank for his first year. And a national debt of around 4T$ and we were talking about actually paying down the debt and deficit "too fast." Probably the first time we've ever had that debate in our history. 

President Bush left office eight years later with a budget deficit of 1T$ and a national debt of 10T$. President Bush did have a couple of recessions in his presidency, 2001-02 and you can make a case that he inherited the first one. Because the economy did start to slow down in 2000 but the Great Recession of 2008-09, clearly happened on his watch and he didn't fix the problem and you can argue that he made the problem worst with his own fiscal policy. 

You have to go back to the 1930s with FDR to find a President that served at least two terms that had an economy that did as bad as President George W Bush. Seventy years, which will be a big part of President Bush's presidential legacy, along with the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. 

But how did he put this record together, during President Bush's tenure? He had a Republican Congress for four years. Democrats controlled the Senate for the first two years and a Republican House for six years. During this period the Bush Administration decided that they could get two 1T$ tax cuts through without paying for them. (Supply side economics) The two wars without paying for them, 3T$ to this point, the first time we've ever borrowed all the money to pay for wars. And a 500B$ Medicare prescription drug benefit, again, all borrowed money. 

Howard Dean when he was running for the Democratic nomination for President and when he served as Chairman of the Democratic Party, dubbed the Bush fiscal policy: Borrow and Spend Economics. You figure out what you want to do, how much it will cost and then borrow all the money to pay for it. Instead of having a list of priorities: "This is what we need to do, this is the money we have. Let's figure out how to make it work the best and if we don't have enough money." 

We cut in other areas or we raise the revenue, that would be called PAYGO, you pay for what you spend. As much as the Bush tax cuts have failed ten years later, because of how bad the economy is right now, the last thing we should be doing right now is passing middle class tax hikes on people who can't afford them and are struggling just to get by. 

And one of the last things we should be doing is adding top our debt and deficit situation as well. So what we should do is raise taxes on people who can afford them, use that revenue to help pay down the debt and deficit. 

Reform the Federal Government entitlements, defense and other places. Cut back in areas we don't need to spend as much. Defense, agriculture, tax subsidy's, and Loopholes and invest in the economy like in infrastructure and energy. But do it in a way that doesn't add to our debt and deficit and start paying for everything that the Federal Government does going forward, including defense and natural disaster relief.

Saturday, July 23, 2011

C-SPAN: Washington Journal With Susan Swain- Christopher Hitchens & Tom Davis (1996)


Source:C-SPAN- British writer, columnist, author, political satirist Christopher Hitchens. 
"Hosted by Susan Swain. Rep. Thomas Davis and Mr. Hitchens talked about current issues including the re-election of President Yeltsin and issues pertinent to the Clinton and Dole campaigns. Credit to CSPAN:CSPAN." 

From C-SPAN

To put it simply: the best way to help poor people move to the middle class and become self-sufficient and not need public assistance for their daily survival, is to give them temporary financial assistance and child care, so they can survive in the short-term, yes, but to move them out of poverty, they need education to give them an  opportunity to get their GED or go back to high school, as well as go to college like a technical school, so they can get the education and skills that they need, so they can get a good job to support themselves and their family's. And then finally job placement, help them find a good job that they are qualified for. So they can support themselves and their family's on their own and no longer need public assistance.

Along with deficit reduction and balancing the Federal budget, Welfare reform of 1996, is President Bill Clinton's biggest achievement. It moved millions of people who would probably still be on Welfare Insurance today or working multiple minimum wage jobs just to barely survive today. 

Had it not been for the 1996 Welfare To Work Law, millions of people who were on Welfare Insurance twenty years ago, now have good jobs today and some of them even own their own business's or manage a business. 

Then Governor Bill Clinton who made Welfare reform a big part of his 1992 presidential campaign, didn't make a big push to pass a bill out of Congress his first two years. When he had a Democratic Congress, including a forty-seat majority in the House.

Even though President Clinton had good ideas on Welfare reform, like education, job placement, and child care, so these single parents could leave the home to go to school or look for work, his calculation was probably that he would never get the votes at least in the House, because the Far-Left flank in the Democratic Party there would never go along with a bill that had time limits for Welfare deficit reduction, the crime bill, Family Medical Leave and of course the nightmarish debacle of health care reform. All things he passed in his first two years except for health care reform. 

It took a Republican Congress for President Clinton to finally incorporate his ideas as well as Republican ideas to make it law. And it was by far the best legislation that a Republican Congress in modern times has ever passed.

What we tried in the 1930s and 1960s with anti-poverty programs, where you essentially just give low-income low-skilled people money and expect nothing from them, that the "cycle of poverty" would just go away on its own, clearly did not work. 

Sixty-years later poverty was still a big problem in America which is why it was reformed. But in the 1990s we finally saw record reductions in poverty down to as low as 13%. One of those reasons being the economic expansion of that decade. But if you're low-income and low-skilled, you won't see the benefits of any economic expansion. Which is a big reason why Welfare reform was so important, because it empowered low-skilled people to get the skills that they need to get themselves out of poverty and into the middle class.   

You can also see this post on WordPress.

You can also see this post at The Daily Journal, on WordPress.

Thom Hartmann: Shane Brooks- 'From Tea Party to Coffee to Democracy'

Source:Thom Hartmann- talking to Shane Brooks, about the Coffee Party.

"Thom talks to Shane Brooks, a reformed Tea Party member, Whiskey With My Coffee on his transition from Tea Party to Coffee Party to Democracy 2.0." 

From Thom Hartmann

When the Tea Party started off it had a very clear message: the Federal Government spends too much, its too big, we have to get the debt and deficit under control. They were also anti-corporate bailouts and had very strong libertarian leanings and didn't care about social issues. 

The Tea Party movement before the Christian-Right hijacked it, was a conservative-libertarian movement. But then the Michele Bachmann's, Sarah Palin's, Herman Cain's of the world merged with them. Which continued to push a certain fiscal policy message, but still likes corporate welfare and brought back social issues and brought back the politics if you disagree with me then you're not a real American. And went back to being anti-muslim, anti-immigrant, anti-gay go down the line (if you have way too much time on your hands) including anti-pornography, and anti-adultery. 

Now the so-called Tea Party is trying to make anything that they don't like illegal just because they don't like it and trying to tell people how to live their own lives. The original version of the Tea Party with the libertarian leanings I respected as a Liberal, even though my approach on these issues is much different. The original version of the Tea Party had a chance to become a major political movement in American politics and perhaps even be able to merge with the Libertarian movement. 

But this new theocratic Tea Party will go no farther than the Christian-Right and be seen as another fringe movement in American politics, because Americans especially independent voters don't tend to like big government authoritarianism.

Back in late 2009 early 2010 and they didn't get started early enough to be a major factor in the 2010 mid- term elections. Just look at the Ed Schultz rally, I believe in October 2010. Another movement began to come from the Democratic Party calling themselves the Coffee Party. That was what I would describe as the democratic socialist (or social democratic) version of the Conservative-Libertarian Tea Party. That saw their role as to defend the American welfare state especially during deficit reduction. And if anything expand the welfare state and use government to promote so-called progressive policy's to create jobs in America. When you have 9.2% unemployment, no better time than to try to create jobs. 

I don't see the Coffee Party becoming much of a factor in the Democratic Party to create positive change in as far as winning elections and taking back the House of Representatives. 

The Coffee Party is not big enough and there are not enough of them in Congress. The so-called House Progressive Caucus (Democratic Socialists and DSA members, in actuality) are 40 members (give or take) and maybe 5-10 in the Senate. If they were to decide to take on Democratic members of Congress in an election year when the economy will probably still be weak or worst take on the President with their own candidate, Democrats will lose everywhere, they'll have a hard enough time getting reelected on their own. 

If the Republican Party nominates Mitt Romney for President and the economy is still weak, President Obama will have a hard enough time getting reelected. Because the election will be about his record.

What the Coffee Party can contribute to the Democratic Party in a positive way, is recruiting House and Senate candidates where the incumbents are Republican. Which I believe will get the Democratic base out to vote for Democrats whoever the candidate is, as well as the get out to vote operations for the fall. To get as many Democrats to vote as possible. 

Otherwise you'll see another divided Democratic Party, just like 1988, 84, 80, 72 and 68 that loses in a landslide to Republicans in Congress and the White House: "United we stand, divided we fall."

Friday, July 22, 2011

Peter DeFazio: 'Let All The Bush Tax Cuts Expire'

Source:CNN Politics- President George W. Bush (Republican, Texas) 43rd President of the United States.

"Democrat Peter DeFazio of Oregon mocked Republicans in the House. "Let all the Bush tax cuts expire!" DeFazio said. "That's 4 trillion dollars. It's not too complicated! It would take us back to those bad old Clinton years when rich people paid taxes. The 'job creators,' they call them," he said in a mocking voice. "They can't make the 'job creators' pay taxes -- it will ruin the economy!' "  

From CNN Politics 

"DeFazio on the Bush Tax Cuts and the budget" 

Source:U.S. Representative Peter DeFazio (Democrat, Oregon) speaking on the floor of the U.S. House about President Bush's tax cuts.

From Peter DeFazio

I'm a little reluctant to criticize Representative Peter Defazio even in a constructive way, because he's one of the most articulate, honest and humorous members of Congress, in both chambers and both parties. (Which is like saying someone is the best ballet dancer in Wichita) And if he ever got around to running statewide in Oregon, I believe he would get elected and I would support him. But he's dead wrong as far as letting all of the Bush tax cuts expire even on the middle class. 

I believe the main reason and its certainly a reason for our weak economic recovery is because of the low- demand in our economy, because people aren't spending enough money to create big enough economic growth to give us enough job creation to create enough jobs to bring down our high unemployment rate. Pass a middle class tax hike on people who perhaps right now are just barely middle class and are worried about whether they'll have a job tomorrow, if they still have one. 

The lack of consumer demand in the economy means middle class Americans spend less money and because they'll have less money to live on and have an even tougher time paying their bills. Which would mean our economic growth would be even weaker and we would lose more jobs and have a higher unemployment rate as well. 

The so-called House Progressive Caucus (Democratic Socialists, in actuality) and its allies make the point, that we had a much better economy in the 1990s especially in the late 90s (97, 98, and 99) so since the economy was stronger then, we should go back to those tax rates which were higher. What they don't mention and I'm sure they are aware of this because they talk to their constituents on a regular basis if nothing else, is back then we had a very strong economy, perhaps the strongest in our history. Which is completely different from today with the weakest economy in at least thirty years. 

Back in the 1990s we could afford higher tax rates on even the middle class because the economy was much stronger then it is 10-20 years later. Higher tax rates can work on high-earners because they already have plenty and aren't looking to spend money just to survive, because they already have plenty. They are not the people that we need to spend more, they rather save and invest. Its middle and low-income people that we need to spend more money and to encourage them to spend more, to generate enough economic and job growth to bring down our unemployment rate to a much more manageable level. 

Tax hikes on people can't afford them and are struggling just to survive, will just make life more difficult for them, because they'll have even less money to live on. And would be even worse for our economy and debt and deficit outlook. 

What we need to do is pass tax hikes on the upper class, to help pay down our debt and deficit. And encourage middle and low-income people to spend more money to generate more economic and job growth. 

Thursday, July 21, 2011

Senator Bernie Sanders: 'Congratulations Tom Coburn'

Source:Senator Bernie Sanders- U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders (Democratic Socialist, Socialist Republic of Vermont) talking about Senator Tom Coburn and the Gang of Six's deficit reduction plan.

"Senator Sanders speaking about the disaster that would ensue if the American economy were to default, how to address the crisis that we now face with long-term deficit reduction, and the "Gang of Six's" proposal which include major cuts in Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and  Education." 

From Senator Bernie Sanders 

Senator Tom Coburn is not as far to the right as people can get or he would be a member of Congress who no one in Congress would be able to work with other then the Far Right (Senate or House) but he's as fiscally conservative as they come in the sense that he believes that the Federal Government should pay its bills and only pay for things that it should be doing and cut back on things that he believes we shouldn't be doing. Which I believe would qualify as common sense to most sane people. 

Senator Bernie Sanders isn't as far to the left as people can get but there isn't much room on the left to be to the left of him. (Communists and that's about it) He is an admitted Democratic Socialist (for crying out loud) and proud of it and believes in the welfare state and collectivism and that government, especially the Federal Government should play a big role in looking after the welfare of the people. 

Senator Sanders also believes that private enterprise, even though I don't believe Senator Sanders believes in nationalizing most industry's, can't be trusted to look after people and that the Federal Government should step in and provide a lot of these services. Everything from education, Health Care, Health Insurance, Unemployment Insurance, transportation, energy, and there's probably a lot more. (But in the interest of time...)

So when you are comparing a fiscally Conservative Senator like Tom Coburn who believes in limited government and there's a limit to what government especially the Federal Government should be doing and a big believer in private enterprise and private markets and is actually against corporate welfare and those tax loopholes, with a Democratic Socialist Senator like Bernie Sanders, two men who I don't tend to agree with a lot on but two men who I have a lot of respect for, you're talking about the opposites of political spectrum. A Socialist (in Bernie Sanders) versus a Christian-Conservative, who is also a fiscal Conservative. (In Tom Coburn)

Both Senators have admitted that deficit reduction has to be done for the good of the economy, you're going to see much different approaches in how to accomplish this. With Senator Coburn who actually believes in fiscal responsibility and there's a limit to what the Federal Government should be doing including on defense. 

If you look at the Coburn Back in Black deficit reduction plan, you'll find major defense cuts in it. As well as closing tax loopholes and entitlement reform, a means testing approach. With an approach from Senator Sanders thats more centered around defense cuts, closing tax loopholes,  and tax hikes probably on everyone, not just the wealthy.

Senator Tom Coburn and Senator Bernie Sanders both represent one thing thats right about the Federal Government, Congress, and Washington, because they represent their viewpoints and constituents as well as they can be represented because of their honesty. They say what they mean, what they believe and back up their views as well as they can be backed up.

Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Al Jazeera: 'President Obama- Backs Gang of Six' Deficit Plan'

 
Source:Al Jazeera- Speaker of the House John Boehner (Republican, Ohio) and the House Republican Leadership.

"Al Jazeera (Arabic: الجزيرة‎, romanized: al-jazīrah, IPA: [æl (d)ʒæˈziːrɐ], literally "The Island", though referring to the Arabian Peninsula in context)[3] is a state-owned[4] broadcaster based in Doha, Qatar, owned by the Al Jazeera Media Network. Initially launched as an Arabic news and current affairs satellite TV channel, Al Jazeera has since expanded into a network with several outlets, including the internet and specialty television channels in multiple languages... 

From Wikipedia 

"The US president has announced his support for a bipartisan deficit-reduction proposal aimed at averting a debt default, saying time was running out for an agreement to raise the US borrowing limit.

Barack Obama said the ambitious budget plan brought forward on Tuesday by the "Gang of Six" group of senators could provide new ideas for breaking the impasse in Congress over raising the federal government's credit limit by August 2.

Al Jazeera's Kimberley Halkett reports from Washington." 


Glad to see President Obama finally show some leadership and take some action on the deficit reduction and debt ceiling issue. And actually come out in favor of a plan, the plan introduced by the "Gang of Six" in the Senate a bipartisan group of Senators led by Senator Kent Conrad Chairman of the Budget Committee and Senator Tom Coburn a very important Republican Senator and fiscal Conservative. 

This plan closes tax loopholes, cuts military spending but in a strategic way. But it sort of punts on the tax cuts for the wealthy and entitlement reform, where we could save hundreds of billions of dollars every year without hurting anyone. But apparently this is a 4T$ deficit reduction plan over ten years, with serious budget cuts and revenue raisers. And if this were to come true, would get our Federal debt and deficit under control and I believe be a jump in the economy and strengthen our dollar. Which would also be a boost to the Stock Market. 

This is not the plan that I would've written, because it does nothing on the tax cuts for the wealthy, entitlement reform or closing some of our foreign bases in developed countries that can afford to defend themselves. That we can no longer afford to defend with our debt situation and our own foreign policy issues. We'll have another opportunity within a year or so to save an additional hundred billion dollars a year to pay down our debt and deficit by bringing our troops home from Afghanistan and Ira. (knock on wood, as the saying goes) 

This is a hell of a lot better than the McConnell punt from the Senate Minority Leader or Crap Carry and Bounce from the House Tea Party. And it shows that there are still some Members of Congress (at least in the Senate) that understand the debt issue, what needs to get done and which is as important. What can pass at least in the Senate and if the House GOP ever wakes up, what should be able to pass in the House as well. Because both sides will be giving up plenty to get plenty in return, budget cuts and revenue raisers, without having to make tough political choices on entitlement reform and tax hikes on the wealthy. Which is why this wouldn't of been the plan I would've written. 

If I had to coin this deficit reduction and debt ceiling plan, I would call it The Comeback Drive, that got us back in the game (so to speak) and bought Congress and the White House more time to deal with the tougher issues to win the game. And I'm done with sports analogy's. (At least football for this post) It's that time of year.

Tuesday, July 19, 2011

The Young Turks: Cenk Uygur- 'Debt Ceiling Offer From McConnell'

Source:The Young Turks- Cenk Uygur on the debt.

"Will president Obama and the Democrats go along with the debt ceiling proposal offered by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell? Cenk Uygur shares his take." 


Just when I was starting to believe that Mitch McConnell was one the most skillful Senate Minority Leaders of all time and perhaps the most skillful Senate Republican Leader, at least going back to Bob Dole or Howard Baker: he offers a Debt Ceiling plan that manages to offend Center-Left Democrats (and I'm one of those people) as well as right-wing and Far-Right, people he actually needs in order to keep his job and hopefully one day for him get promoted to Senate Leader instead of Minority Leader. 

The McConnell plan is as dumb as it's simple: says that if the President and Congress, don't reach a debt ceiling agreement by August 2nd when we are currently scheduled to default if an agreement isn't reached, that the President unilaterally could raise the debt limit on his own. Be able to borrow the 2T$ thats needed to raise the debt limit. And I believe there is actually a catch to the McConnell plan, that by October Congress would be able to weigh in again on the debt ceiling that the President of course would have to approve. 

The President has already made it clear that he doesn't want to use the constitutional option on the debt ceiling (so to speak) that instead wants to reach a grand bargain with Speaker John Boehner and Leader Harry Reid on a debt limit increase, but also a deficit reduction deal with Congress as well. But would use the constitutional option if he's not able to reach an agreement with Congress and he's well within his right to do that. But also it would look bad politically and sort of make the President look like a dictator, if he unilaterally borrowed and additional 2T$. Especially since he and Congress have already put 4T$ on the National Debt in 2 1/2 years. 

The only reason why I could see Minority Leader McConnell offering this plan, is to have something else to use against President Obama to make him look like a big spender. The problem though that it would be McConnell's idea that he would be acting on. 

The McConnell plan is another example of DOA and would never pass either the House or Senate or get signed into law. In just the last week we've seen leaders from both the House and Senate offer debt ceiling plans that they know or should know have no shot in hell of passing and becoming law. Instead of working together to find a solution to the Federal Government's debt issue, which is one of their jobs to help solve problems that the Federal Government faces. And right now no one in Congress in leadership is earning their six figure salary for their part-time jobs.